Due For A Pause

Today in the podcast, an updated overview on our market call. Three big things you need to know: First, we’ve tweaked our S&P 500 EPS forecasts up modestly by $1-2 to $220 for 2023 and $229 for 2024, while leaving our YE 2023E S&P 500 price target of 4,250 unchanged. While one of our models highlights potential upside to ~4,800, and we think the gains in the index so far in 2023 have been deserved, we have become concerned that the rally in the S&P 500 is due for a pause in the months ahead. Second, we continue to see tactical challenges for the Growth trade, though we continue to like Growth over Value longer term. Third, Small Caps continue to look more appealing on our work overall than Large Caps, and we remain comfortable adding exposure there despite near-term risks to market direction broadly.