Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412

Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention.

00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti

00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview

01:31 Paper One Extreme Events

03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data

05:31 Retraction Controversy

09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims

12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias

17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000

21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis

23:12 Media Term And Search Trends

27:05 Building A Crisis Framework

28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires

31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard

35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation

37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion

39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach

41:40 Where To Find Work

44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell

Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm

Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum

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