Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landscape, rising capital demands from AI and renewed tariff risks challenge the old 60/40 orthodoxy. Listener questions on US policy shocks and the Yen carry trade open a deeper look at when trend helps and when it hurts. The episode culminates in a world exclusive of SocGen's 2026 index changes and the first public reveal of Alan’s new paper: The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio, for genuinely resilient, opportunity-aware global wealth compounding intelligently, prudently over the decade ahead. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter , LinkedIn , YouTube or via the TTU website . IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here . And you can get a free copy of my latest book “ Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio ” here . Learn more about the Trend Barometer here . Send your questions to
[email protected] And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Alan on Twitter . Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Voiceover and introduction to the Systematic Investor Series 00:23 - Niels and Alan open, what is on their radar this week 01:27 - Fed succession as a political risk factor and betting markets 03:33 - Crypto moves, Vanguard’s platform shift and MicroStrategy index pressure 05:53 - Listener questions: can constant US policy shocks break trend? 06:33 - Trouble for trend or just another regime to endure and adapt to 08:55 - Short-term CTAs, Liberation Day and when speed becomes a handicap 11:11 - How CTAs are positioned for a yen carry unwind and JGB nuances 12:16 - November trend update, five straight positive months and short-term pain 13:35 - World exclusive: new SocGen CTA and...
