Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145

NERD ALERT!! We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle. 0:00 Predictive Sports Stats 31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market 45:50 Rest of News. 54:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, host...