The Tyler Robinson Probable Cause Affidavit (Part 1) (7/24/26)

The probable-cause affidavit alleges that Tyler Robinson carried out the September 10, 2025 shooting of Charlie Kirk during an event at Utah Valley University. Investigators said campus surveillance tracked a dark-clothed suspect carrying a backpack as he moved toward the Losee Center, climbed onto its roof and took a prone position overlooking the courtyard shortly before Kirk was shot in the neck. The suspect then sprinted across the roof, climbed down and fled toward a wooded area, where investigators recovered a scoped Mauser Model 98 .30-06 bolt-action rifle wrapped in a towel. Engraved ammunition was found with the weapon, and a shoe impression near the rooftop escape point was described as consistent with Converse-style shoes worn by the suspect.

The affidavit says the investigation shifted toward Robinson after a family member reported that he had confessed or implied responsibility. Police also placed Robinson’s gray Dodge Challenger at the university earlier that morning and said his family confirmed that he had recently discussed Kirk’s visit, criticized his views and become increasingly political. Robinson’s roommate then showed investigators messages attributed to “Tyler” discussing a rifle left at a drop point, the towel wrapped around it, engraved bullets, the weapon’s scope and a change of clothing. Based on the surveillance, recovered rifle, family information and digital messages, the officer concluded there was probable cause to arrest Robinson for aggravated murder, felony discharge of a firearm and obstruction of justice.


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