ONLY 44,000 Jobs Created: What That Means for Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates are holding steady today even after a rough ADP jobs report showed only 44,000 private payroll jobs created, well below the 100,000 needed to keep the labor market on track. At the same time, stocks are soaring toward record highs, oil markets are reacting to another tanker strike tied to the Iran conflict, and the bond market is absorbing a massive wave of Treasury, corporate, and mortgage debt. In today's episode I break down why mortgage rates aren't moving despite all this noise, what the MBS (mortgage bond) market is telling us, and what the Federal Reserve is watching heading into their next meeting.
CHAPTERS 0:00 Breaking News: Jobs Report Miss and Oil Tanker Strike 1:40 Only 44,000 Jobs Created, What It Means For Your Rate 3:20 Bond Market Explained: Treasuries, Corporate Debt and MBS 6:00 Stocks Soar, Oil Tanker Struck, Why Rates Aren't Moving 8:45 Fed Rate Cut Odds, Iran War Impact and What To Watch Next
Read the full breakdown on the blog: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/the-daily-rate-update-august-5-2026-stocks-soar-but-rates-get-better
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Welcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.
This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.
My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.
Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.
WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL
๐ Mortgage rate updates ๐ Housing market news ๐ Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis ๐ 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement ๐ฐ Refinance opportunities ๐ก Homebuyer education ๐ RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools ๐งฎ Mortgage calculators and payment tools ๐ฅ Live market updates and housing commentary
Whether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.
TOP RESOURCES
๐ Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/
๐ TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/
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๐งฎ Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-Foundations
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DISCLAIMER
Dan Frio is a federally registered mortgage loan originator with PBT Bancorp. Mortgage products are originated by PBT Bancorp, NMLS #257781. NMLS #246527 | PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.
This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.
All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, The Rate Update, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.
Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject to borrower qualifications, market conditions, underwriting approval, and change without notice. Not all borrowers will qualify.
#MortgageRates #HousingMarket #FederalReserve #JobsReport #RealEstate
Dan Frio | NMLS #246527 | PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender | 524 Main St, Hazard, KY 41701. Mortgage products are originated by PBT Bancorp, NMLS #257781. Education and commentary only; not an offer or commitment to lend.
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