Interview Only w/ Reid Wilson - The Midterm Story Everyone Is Missing… State Governments

Reid Wilson — founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs — joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast — and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy’s money won’t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become. 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast

01:45 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter

07:00 How the state map collapsed for Democrats — and where it’s turning back

13:15 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play

18:15 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it

21:30 Affordability, data centers, and who’s writing the checks

26:00 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook

29:45 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa

32:30 A more factionalized GOP than people realize

35:30 The shock results that would signal a huge wave

39:30 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada’s undecideds

50:30 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida?

54:30 Ballot initiatives to watch — abortion, trans sports, and major tax fights

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.