Numbers Game: Do the polls give Sunak’s Tories any hope?

If you look at the data, this government has been dreadful. But take a closer look and there’s still a chance they might turn the polls on its head. Thankfully, that chance is tiny, but it’s still a chance nonetheless. Ben Walker is a journalist for the New Statesman and has analysed the numbers to work out the reality of a Tory turnaround. He joins Marie Le Conte in The Bunker.

• “There’s been elections worse than this and parties have recovered.” – Ben Walker.
• “The data doesn’t take into account the sentiment of the nation.” – Ben Walker.
• “If you look at history it’s probably 1 in 4… lower than Biden vs Trump.” – Ben Walker.
• “Is now the time for Labour to start pulling out its policies? Because it still has credibility issues.” – Ben Walker.
• “The best thing I think the Conservatives can do is lose the election now, so they can recover quicker.” – Ben Walker.

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Written and presented by Marie Le Conte. Producer: Chris Jones. Audio production: Simon Williams. Managing Editor: Jacob Jarvis. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison Music by Kenny Dickinson. THE BUNKER is a Podmasters Production.

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