Ian Bremmer: 'We have passed peak Trump in terms of disruption on the global stage'

François Picard is pleased to welcome Ian Bremmer, the American political scientist, author, and founder and president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media. According to Bremmer, we may now be entering the autumn of the "Donroe Doctrine" and the MAGA era: an "America First" isolationist approach in which President Donald Trump envisions a return to "greatness" in Gilded Age fashion. But is this the America voters had envisioned?

Yet Bremmer is equally emphatic about something else: "America, of course, is a democracy where the people do express their will." Ultimately, he believes, the political consequences of Trump's second term will be determined by voters. He has argued that Republicans risk losing the House, and possibly the Senate, in the upcoming midterm elections.

For Bremmer, however, the Trump phenomenon is also deeply personal. "President Trump and his administration frequently put themselves above the interests of the country," he says. "And this really has nothing to do with the Republican Party." Trump, he points out, was once a Democrat. In Bremmer's view, this makes the phenomenon distinctly Trumpian, and suggesting that "this pattern will go away after Trump."

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Meanwhile, Trump has mastered what Steve Bannon famously called "flooding the zone": overwhelming the political system with a torrent of executive orders, announcements, and initiatives. But Bremmer cautions against assuming that everything the president declares, or orders, automatically becomes American policy.

"Trump says a lot of things, and he even writes a lot of executive orders," Bremmer observes, "but what ends up being executed and implemented turns out to be a fraction of that."

Courts, Congress, foreign governments, economic interests and, at times, members of Trump's own party have all acted as constraints on what the administration can actually implement.

And yet, beyond the domestic political struggle, Trump's foreign policy is reshaping America's relationship with the world. And while "Trump is deeply unpopular in France, across Europe, in