Monitoring Misery, Industrials Insights, US Inflows Return

Today in the podcast, three big things you need to know: First, the Misery Index (inflation plus unemployment) has fallen sharply since last summer, helping explain the surprisingly strong move in the S&P 500 this year. Second, deleveraging was one key theme that jumped out to us from RBC’s Industrials conference last week. Third, other things that jumped out from our high frequency indicators last week include the recent improvement in bottom-up 2023 S&P 500 EPS forecasts and the return of US equity fund inflows driven by passive funds.