Mid-Year Outlook Update

The big things you need to know:

• First, we are lifting our 12-month S&P 500 price target to 8,150 from 7,900. We also think the recent outperformance of non-US developed markets and value could last a bit longer but ultimately expect equity market leadership to return to the US and big cap growth after the recent valuation problem is resolved.
• Second, we run through our thoughts on the upcoming reporting season, noting that the bar seems high from a data perspective.
• Third, the latest Duke CFO survey pointed to a slight downtick on economic optimism but a slight uptick on optimism on the outlook for one’s own company.