Buffett Indicator at 238 Percent | Durham News

Warren Buffett’s 25-year-old warning sign—the Buffett Indicator—is now at 238%, far beyond his danger zone, but that doesn’t mean a crash is imminent. With companies earning more overseas and shifting market dynamics, the number alone doesn’t tell the full story. Buffett himself is acting cautiously, holding $359 billion in cash and Treasuries at Berkshire Hathaway—more than his stock and bond investments—showing he’s waiting for better opportunities. While the market could still climb, such high valuations risk disappointing returns unless earnings catch up, multiples shrink, or new opportunities emerge. Buffett’s cash pile speaks volumes: he’s not rushing in, even when prices look extreme.

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