I Raised His P(Doom) Live On Air — Liron on Milk Road AI

Milk Road AI, a daily AI investing show that’s described as “99% optimistic about AI,” invited me on to make the case for AI doom.

We ride the Doom Train, and I share my investing thesis for a market in the middle of an intelligence explosion. Topics covered include:

* Why my P(Doom) is 50%;

* The “Icarus curve” — why AI will be the best thing that’s ever happened to the economy right up until it takes over;

* Whether China would accept a pause deal;

* If Anthropic has a shot at being the first $100 trillion company.

Watch on YouTube:

Timestamps

00:00:00 — Cold Open

00:02:06 — What Is Doom Debates?

00:03:10 — What’s Your P(Doom)?™

00:06:30 — How AI Kills Everyone

00:09:13 — Intelligence Is Humanity’s Only Superpower

00:10:59 — Riding the Doom Train™: Why Not Keep Us as Pets?

00:13:55 — Embodied AI and Robotics

00:15:59 — Are We at AGI Already?

00:17:36 — Everyone’s Catching Up to Eliezer Yudkowsky

00:18:53 — The Icarus Curve

00:21:35 — Pausing AI and the China Question

00:25:54 — Why Nukes Aren’t a Success Story

00:30:09 — Going Long Until Doom

00:32:48 — Simulation Theory and the Intelligence Explosion

00:33:43 — Living with a 50% P(Doom)

00:39:14 — Where to Find Doom Debates

Links

This episode was originally posted on Milk Road AI —

Milk Road AI podcast — https://milkroad.com/podcast/

Milk Road AI on Apple Podcasts —

Milkroad Pro — https://milkroad.com/pro/

LG Doucet on X — https://x.com/LgDoucet

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies on Amazon —https://www.amazon.com/dp/0316595640

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