Prof. Ted Postol: The Third Round of War Is Israel’s Worst Nightmare Yet

Israel's early warning radars degraded after Iranian strikes, reducing missile detection precision. Iron Dome effective vs drones but limited against ballistic threats. Technical assessment: Iran's 440kg of 60% enriched uranium could produce ~20 deliverable nuclear warheads using simple designs, achievable in weeks. Such weapons fit existing Iranian missiles. Iran shows rational deterrence posture and openness to diplomacy. With most Iranian launchers intact and Western missile stocks depleted, strategic dynamics favor negotiation. Misinformation risks dangerous miscalculations. Diplomacy remains the only viable path forward.

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