MIT Prof. Ted Postol: Iranian Missiles vs Israeli Air Defense: Who Would Actually Win?

Analysis of Middle East missile warfare examines claims that Iranian strikes have degraded US/Israeli air defenses by targeting critical early warning radars in the Persian Gulf. Technical breakdown explains how systems like THAAD, Patriot, and Aegis rely on large surveillance radars for target cueing—losses that reduce intercept capability and cut civilian warning times from ~10 minutes to under 2. Discussion covers the gap between missile defense marketing and operational reality, political vs. technical drivers in procurement, geopolitical ripple effects on US alliances in Asia and the Gulf, and Iran's decades-long preparation for conflict. Also addresses satellite early warning limitations and the resilience of Iran's military-technical infrastructure amid leadership losses.

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