Andrei Martyanov; Israel Backs Off, Russia Doubles Down, What's Coming Next.

Nima Rostami Alkhorshid:

1. What is your understanding of the recent developments between Iran and Israel, especially regarding the involvement of ISIS and the lack of a real ceasefire?
2. Why did Iran choose not to use cruise missiles in its attack on Israel despite possessing them?
3. How effective are the Patriot missile systems, as claimed by Trump, against modern ballistic missiles?
4. Do you believe Netanyahu's initial plan was regime change in Iran, and if so, why did it fail?
5. Is there confusion among global powers like Russia, China, and Iran about Trump’s erratic behavior and rhetoric?

Andrei Martianov:

1. The conflict shows that Israel relied heavily on U.S. support but failed to anticipate Iran’s military capabilities, leading to significant damage and no real ceasefire.
2. Iran likely avoided using subsonic cruise missiles because they are easier to intercept and less effective compared to their advanced ballistic missiles.
3. Patriot systems are obsolete and ineffective against modern ballistic missiles; Trump's claims are exaggerated and misleading.
4. Netanyahu and Trump underestimated Iran, believing in quick victories and Western military superiority, which led to strategic failure.
5. No, countries like Russia understand Trump well—they see him as impulsive, narcissistic, and unreliable, which undermines U.S. credibility globally.

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