Hispanics are Going Extinct Due to Low Fertility Rates

Malcolm and Simone discuss shocking new statistics revealing fertility rates plummeting faster than expected across Latin America, with countries seeing 30-60% drops in under a decade. They analyze root cultural causes and link to contraception access. This mirrors dire global trends barely being reported on, often dismissed as a racist issue, though in reality massively threatening Hispanic and African cultures too.

Malcolm Collins: [00:00:00] Stunningly, except for Mexico, all of the countries listed in this graph have already dropped below this level. Uruguay, Costa Rica, Chile, Jamaica, and Cuba now have a total fertility rate of around 1. 3 children per woman. The so called quote unquote ultra low fertility threshold that has only been seen in a handful of European and East Asian countries.

in a TED talk delivered last year, Argentine economist and demographer Rafael Rothman said that his country's fertility had declined more in the previous six years than in the previous six decades.

As a result, he told a queue. In 2024, there will be roughly 30 percent fewer four year olds entering Argentinian preschools than there were in 2020, a 30 percent drop in four years. A recent paper titled The Great Decline, Wanda Sela and three other Uruguayan demographers write that in just seven [00:01:00] years, the total fertility rate in Uruguay dropped from 2 to 1. 27 children per woman. There is no precedent for a fall of this magnitude in such a short period. Warned you people! We have been warning you for years now! if this was an animal species, like, if you had an animal that was having every year and it was due to a recent and rapid decline, that would categorize the species as an endangered or critically endangered species. So we would categorize most cultural groups in Latin America is critically endangered right now if they were a species.

And if we were environmentalists, we would be freaking the f**k out about what's happening. But, nope, not gonna do anything because it's, it's, it's, they, they don't really give a s**t about. Hispanic populations. They only care about them when they can use them as a wedge issue. And this is why I always say that the conservative movement needs to understand that the problems that Hispanic populations are facing are the problems that we are facing culturally.

There are allies

Would you like to know more?

Malcolm Collins: [00:02:00] Well, Simone, a couple days ago, it was brought to our attention again that we are again on the front page of Reddit by my brother actually this time. He goes, Oh, you guys made the front page again. And this time we made the front page with a rehashed post. It was just like a copy of an old post by one of those spammers.

That what, we look like a couple of parsnips? Nearsighted.

Simone Collins: Nearsighted parsnips.

Malcolm Collins: Yeah, making fun of us and being angry at us for nothing. Like, they seem to think that we are white supremacists or something. Or that our movement is And it's, it's so frustrating for me. How little what the pronatalist movement is actually doing has penetrated mainstream thought.

There aren't people like clapping back being like, you know that they have like 20 like anti racist videos on their channel. Like they go really hard on this and if you look at the areas that have the most tragedy in terms of fertility collapse. The vast majority of them are not white areas, [00:03:00] and in fact, there's some of the very areas that people like them would assume that we have some sort of like ideological beef with.

Simone Collins: Yeah, yeah, considering. So what we're going to talk about is relevant. Because I just sent to Malcolm. Well, we were on a. Flight news about Latin America's fertility decline, accelerating, not just being bad, like we've already mentioned, but accelerating.

Malcolm Collins: It's not just accelerating, but it's accelerating at a pace that's frankly baffling everyone except for us, because we could have told you, like anyone who is familiar with Latin American culture.

Anyone who has a lot of Latin American friends and anyone who knows us knows that's one of our primary friends groups like our company. We are the only non Latin Americans who work at our company. So, we are very, very tight with Latin American culture. Many of our best friends, like the godfather, our first son is, is Peruvian, for example.

So we. Know a lot about what's going on was [00:04:00] in those immigrant groups and was in that culture. And anyone who knew that culture would know that their fertility is about to absolutely crash. And yet they

Simone Collins: made these assumptions about us because we code conservative and we are conservatives, but also, like, it seems that a lot of conservatives are freaking out about the border crisis. And you know, there's a, just assume that anyone who leans conservative is like, ah, people from Latin America are terrible. And that's ridiculous.

Malcolm Collins: Well, these people just aren't very smart. Like the, the people who, who hate us and solving, no,

Simone Collins: they're not saying they're not, they're not, many of them are very smart.

They're just not putting thought into this. They're just jumping to conclusions. They're

Malcolm Collins: too poor. But we need to start talking about the statistics here. Yeah. And these statistics also really for me show when we're talking to reporters, like we talked to this reporter recently who was clearly just like an ultra leftist and unwilling to hear any form of reason.

And she was like, all of the demographers that I've talked to. I see that you cannot predict long term demographic [00:05:00] changes. And I'm like, what are you talking about?

Every single one of the leading indicators. that we're looking at right now, you know, whether it's religiosity, which is tied to fertility rates. We can even ask like gen alpha, like how many kids you plan to have and see like 40 percent plan to have no kids, which isn't even like comparable to previous generations that she's like, it'll all work itself out.

And one of the things that we constantly see in this space and that's worth knowing. Is the the articles are always, you know, falling birth rates, baffle demographers and defy all expectations. And that is because they consistently are putting out data that is almost sort of like the opposite of when they're doing global warming stuff where they always exaggerate the data always.

Underplay the scope of the problem and the speed of the drop you should expect. So you really need to look around at other things to predict where the, how bad the drop's gonna be. So let's, and, and this is a great example of that, this, this particular recent trend. So as recently as 2019, a benchmark [00:06:00] study by the United Nations Population Division for 2020 to 2,100, forecasting that for.

For 2020 to 2100 forecast that fertility in Latin America and Caribbean countries would stabilize at an average of around 1. 75 children per woman in the latter half of this century. So this was a recent study. So this was only five years ago that this study was done. And this study said, and this is something we keep seeing from demographers, is they assume that there is a floor to fertility collapse, even though, and they marked that floor in Latin America at 1.

75. Even though we keep seeing that no country seems to have hit this magical floor yet, they just keep going down and down and down, but it's also worse than that. Floor mistake is one that they have repeatedly made. So if you look at old demography stuff, the, they used to assume like the demographers that were p