The Economy Is Slowing—But AI Is Booming: What Wall Street Does Next
The jobs report came in surprisingly soft. Bond yields moved lower. Stocks responded positively. But underneath the market rally, is the American economy beginning to split into two very different worlds?
On this episode of Wayve Wire, host Todd M. Schoenberger, CEO of CrossCheck Media Inc., sits down with Joe Besecker, CEO of Wayve Capital, and Rhys Williams, CIO of Wayve Capital, for a wide-ranging discussion about the jobs market, interest rates, artificial intelligence and where investors should be looking next.
Besecker argues that the weak employment report could take pressure off the Federal Reserve while warning that AI is changing what Americans once considered secure white-collar jobs. Williams goes further, arguing that outside the extraordinary data-center capital-spending boom, significant portions of the economy could slow as high borrowing costs work their way through housing, commercial real estate and credit markets. Wayve Wire - October 2nd Episod…
But there's an important disagreement. Besecker isn't convinced the broader economy is deteriorating. He points to well-paying skilled-trade jobs connected to the infrastructure boom and continued demand for workers in areas such as healthcare. Williams counters that those gains may not be large enough to offset pressure on other workers and argues America needs to reconsider which occupations will become the upper-middle-class jobs of the future.
And Williams remains notably confident about AI infrastructure. He says newly opened data-center capacity is being absorbed rapidly and argues that demand for older generations of Nvidia chips challenges the idea that today's hardware immediately becomes obsolete when newer chips arrive.
The conversation then moves across Wall Street: oil and geopolitical risk, gold versus crypto, commercial-real-estate refinancing, banks, travel and leisure, life sciences, AI infrastructure—and whether beaten-down consumer brands such as Nike can ever regain their former dominance.
If AI continues booming while the rest of the economy loses momentum, investors may be confronting something much bigger than another sector rotation:
Are we entering an economy increasingly divided between businesses connected to AI—and everybody else?
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