How much credit risk is in the market? Equities get the headlines but the world runs on credit. Jamie Dimon recently declared that credit was a “bad risk” on the heels of Moody’s downgrading the U.S. credit rating and a spike in the 10 Year Treasury yield. Suddenly, the boring old credit and bond markets are all the rage on the financial news channels, and it goes much deeper than treasuries. Today’s episode examines the scope of the global credit market and unpacks the difference between the systemic threat posed in the global financial crisis (GFC) and the looming credit crisis today. And, it shows how the big corporations prepared for the gathering storm by rewriting the rules of the game after the GFC. The big guys are fairly insulated from any sort of looming credit shock, but the rest of us are pretty much toast. Access the episode resources . Chapters Intro: 00:01:00 Post Show Musings: 00:28:25 Outro: 00:33:39 Resources Moody’s: Moody’s Ratings downgrades United States ratings to Aa1 from Aaa; changes outlook to stable Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Household Debt and Credit Report Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The Labor Market for Recent College Graduates Coleman Report: Small Business Loan Defaults Expected to Peak Next Year Offshoring Lincoln International LLC: Q1 2025 Lincoln Private Market Index™ Investopedia: Payment-in-Kind (PIK): What It Is, How It Works, Pros and Cons Axios: Americans are behind on car payments at a record level MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase Slightly in the First Quarter of 2025 HBR: U.S. Commercial Real Estate Is Headed Toward a Crisis J.P. Morgan Private Bank U.S.: Municipal Bonds: Back in the Spotlight U.S. Department of the Treasury: Treasury International Capital Data for March Everything Policy: Where are the key Panama Papers figures, seven years later? Secondaries Investor: Yale sells up to $6bn of its PE portfolio amid federal funding challenge NBER: The Offshore World According to FATCA: New Evidence on the Foreign Wealth of U.S. Peter Lang Publishing: Hip Hop Can Save America! UNFTR Episode Resources The U.S. Dollar and 10 Year Treasury. Updated Tax Evasion Figures. Video: Credit Risk: The looming U.S. Credit Crisis UNFTR 5 Non-Negotiables -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook , Bluesky , TikTok and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com . Join our Discord at unftr.com/discord . Become a member at unftr.com/memberships . Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com . Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations . Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility . Unf*cking the Republic is produced by 99 and engineered by Manny Faces Media ( mannyfacesmedia.com ). Original music is by Tom McGovern ( tommcgovern.com ). The show is hosted by Max and distributed by 99. Support the show: https://www.unftr.com/memberships See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
